Vol. 14 No. 1 (2023):
Research Article

Quantifying displacement: Using turnover data to measure physical and psychological neighborhood change

Susannah Cramer-Greenbaum
University of Warwick, UK
Bio
Zurich

Published 2023-03-31

Keywords

  • Population turnover,
  • Displacement,
  • Housing,
  • Redevelopment,
  • Zurich,
  • neighborhoods,
  • gentrification
  • ...More
    Less

How to Cite

Cramer-Greenbaum, Susannah. 2023. “Quantifying Displacement: Using Turnover Data to Measure Physical and Psychological Neighborhood Change”. European Journal of Geography 14 (1):35-46. https://doi.org/10.48088/ejg.s.cra.14.1.35.46.
Received 2022-12-05
Accepted 2023-03-31
Published 2023-03-31

Abstract

Population displacement is difficult to measure, but quantifying its presence is critical to delineating the scope, scale and potential causes of displacement’s effect in urban areas. This paper considers whether the widely available data used to measure turnover can be effectively used to measure other forms of population change. The article presents two new metrics, the Fresh Faces Ratio and the Replacement Index, that better capture some of the nuances of physical and psycholog-ical displacement. It then applies these metrics to city quarters within the city of Zurich, Switzerland, correlates them with turnover and new construction statistics, and assesses their accuracy against residents’ perceptions of change. The research finds that both metrics offer suitable proxies to identify areas where exceptional population changes are taking place, and where residents have a strong sense of these changes. The new metrics can help assess what physical or psychological displacement may or may not result from urban development and new housing construction. Since the new metrics use turnover data already widely available, they are easily adaptable to less data-rich contexts than Zurich.

Highlights:

  • Refashioning turnover data for new metrics measuring displacement
  • Evaluating new metrics against resident perceptions of change
  • Potential applicability for comparison across varied data contexts

 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

  1. Alesina, A., & Ferrara, E. L. (2005). Ethnic Diversity and Economic Performance. Journal of Economic Literature, 39.
  2. Alesina, A., Harnoss, J., & Rapoport, H. (2016). Birthplace diversity and economic prosperity. Journal of Economic Growth, 21(2), 101–138. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-016-9127-6
  3. Amin, A. (2006). The good city. Urban Studies, 43(5/6), 1009–1023. https://doi.org/10.1080/00420980600676717
  4. Amin, A. (2013). Telescopic urbanism and the poor. City, 17(4), 476–492. https://doi.org/10.1080/13604813.2013.812350
  5. Atkinson, R. (2000). Measuring Gentrification and Displacement in Greater London. Urban Studies, 37(1), 149–165.
  6. https://doi.org/10.1080/0042098002339
  7. Bailey, N., & Livingston, M. (2007). Population Turnover and Area Deprivation. Policy Press. http://eprints.gla.ac.uk/67890/
  8. Bartha, G., & Kocsis, S. (2011). Standarization of Geographic Data: The European Inspire Directive. European Journal of Geography, 2(2), 79-89. https://eurogeojournal.eu/articles/6-Bartha.pdf
  9. Boas, I., Farbotko, C., Adams, H., Sterly, H., Bush, S., van der Geest, K., Wiegel, H., Ashraf, H., Baldwin, A., Bettini, G., Blondin, S., de Bruijn, M., Durand-Delacre, D., Fröhlich, C., Gioli, G., Guaita, L., Hut, E., Jarawura, F. X., Lamers, M., … Hulme, M. (2019). Climate migration myths. Na-ture Climate Change, 9(12), Article 12. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0633-3
  10. Borsellino, R., Charles-Edwards, E., Bernard, A., & Corcoran, J. (2021). Forty years of internal migration in Australian regions: A sequence analysis
  11. of net migration, turnover, and retention. Australian Geographer, 52(4), 425–452. https://doi.org/10.1080/00049182.2021.2018772
  12. Brenner, N., & Wachsmuth, D. (2012). Territorial Competitiveness: Lineages, Practices, Ideologies. In Planning ideas that matter: Livability,
  13. territoriality, governance, and reflective practice. MIT Press.
  14. Brown, J., & Tousey, C. (2020). Population Turnover and the Growth of Urban Areas. Economic Review, v.105(no.1).
  15. https://doi.org/10.18651/ER/v105n1BrownTousey
  16. Brown-Saracino, J. (2017). Explicating Divided Approaches to Gentrification and Growing Income Inequality. Annual Review of Sociology, 43(1),
  17. –539. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-soc-060116-053427
  18. Bruner, J. P. (2015). Diversity, tolerance, and the social contract. Politics, Philosophy & Economics, 14(4), 429–448.
  19. https://doi.org/10.1177/1470594X14560763
  20. Burholt, V., & Sardani, A. V. (2018). The impact of residential immobility and population turnover on the support networks of older people living
  21. in rural areas: Evidence from CFAS Wales. Population, Space and Place, 24(4), e2132. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2132
  22. Camillo Boano & Francisco Vergara-Perucich. (2017). Neoliberalism and urban development in Latin America: The case of Santiago.
  23. Chapple, K. (2019). Transit-oriented displacement or community dividends? Understanding the effects of smarter growth on communities. The MIT Press.
  24. Cramer-Greenbaum, S. (2020). Who can afford a ‘livable’ place? The part of living global rankings leave out. International Journal of Urban
  25. Sustainable Development, 13(1), 70–82. https://doi.org/10.1080/19463138.2020.1812076
  26. Creţan, R., & Doiciar, C. (2022). Postmemory sits in places: The relationship of young Romanians to the communist past. Eurasian Geography and
  27. Economics, 0(0), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1080/15387216.2022.2052135
  28. Creţan, R., Kupka, P., Powell, R., & Walach, V. (2022). Everday Roma Stigmatization: Racialized Urban Encounters, Collective Histories and
  29. Fragmented Habitus. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 46(1), 82–100. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2427.13053
  30. Davidson, M. (2009). Displacement, Space and Dwelling: Placing Gentrification Debate. Ethics, Place & Environment, 12(2), 219–234.
  31. https://doi.org/10.1080/13668790902863465
  32. Demetrius, L. (1989). Growth rate, population entropy, and perturbation theory. Mathematical Biosciences, 93(2), 159–180.
  33. https://doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(89)90021-7
  34. Dennett, A., & Stillwell, J. (2008). Population turnover and churn: Enhancing understanding of internal migration in Britain through measures of
  35. stability. Population Trends, 134, 24–41.
  36. Easton, S., Lees, L., Hubbard, P., & Tate, N. (2020). Measuring and mapping displacement: The problem of quantification in the battle against
  37. gentrification. Urban Studies, 57(2), 286–306. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098019851953
  38. Elliott-Cooper, A., Hubbard, P., & Lees, L. (2020). Moving beyond Marcuse: Gentrification, displacement and the violence of un-homing. Progress
  39. in Human Geography, 44(3), 492–509. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309132519830511
  40. Erickson, L. D., Sanders, S. R., & Cope, M. R. (2018). Lifetime stayers in urban, rural, and highly rural communities in Montana. Population, Space
  41. and Place, 24(4), e2133. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2133
  42. Fainstein, S. S. (2001). Inequality in Global City-Regions. DisP - The Planning Review, 37(144), 20–25.
  43. https://doi.org/10.1080/02513625.2001.10556764
  44. Fainstein, S. S., Gordon, I., & Harloe, M. (1992). Divided cities: New York & London in the contemporary world / edited by Susan S. Fainstein, Ian
  45. Gordon & Michael Harloe. Blackwell.
  46. Fang, W., & Kunzmann, K. R. (2008). Transition: Zurich West: a photographic essay. DISP.
  47. Freeman, L., & Braconi, F. (2004). Gentrification and Displacement New York City in the 1990s. Journal of the American Planning Association, 70(1),
  48. –52. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944360408976337
  49. Freeman, L., Cassola, A., & Cai, T. (2016). Displacement and gentrification in England and Wales: A quasi-experimental approach. Urban Studies,
  50. (13), 2797–2814. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098015598120
  51. Friedmann, J. (1986). The World City Hypothesis. Development and Change, 17(1), 69–83. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7660.1986.tb00231.x
  52. Hamnett, C. (2003). Gentrification and the Middle-class Remaking of Inner London, 1961-2001. Urban Studies, 40(12), 2401–2426.
  53. https://doi.org/10.1080/0042098032000136138
  54. Kanakis, K., McShane, C. J., Kilcullen, M. L., & Swinbourne, A. L. (2019). “It’s the people that keep me here”: Exploring the role of community
  55. attachment in increasing length of residency. Journal of Rural Studies, 70, 19–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2019.08.006
  56. Kretz, S., Ting, C., Prof. Kees Christiaanse,. (2014). Analysekarten: Komparative Kartografien in der Metropolitanregion Zürich. ETH Zürich.
  57. Lang, W., Lang, H., Hui, E. C. M., Chen, T., Wu, J., & Jahre, M. (2022). Measuring urban vibrancy of neighborhood performance using social media
  58. data in Oslo, Norway. Cities, 131, 103908. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2022.103908
  59. Lazar, A., & Chendrayudu, N. (2019). An Analysis of Modern Methods of Population and Housing Censuses. European Journal of Geography, 10(4),
  60. Article 4. https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/211
  61. Lees, L., Shin, H. B., & López-Morales, E. (Eds.). (2015). Global gentrifications: Uneven development and displacement (1st ed.). Bristol University
  62. Press. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt1t894bt
  63. Lees, L., Slater, T., & Wyly, E. K. (2010). The Gentrification Reader. Routledge.
  64. Maccioni, L., & Zebenigus, D. (2016). Dynamic Plan. In Cities of Change – Addis Ababa: Transformation Strategies for Urban Territories in the 21st
  65. Century. Birkhäuser. https://doi.org/10.1515/9783035606867
  66. Málovics, G., Creţan, R., Méreiné Berki, B., & Tóth, J. (2019). Urban Roma, segregation and place attachment in Szeged, Hungary. Area, 51(1), 72–
  67. https://doi.org/10.1111/area.12426
  68. Marcińczak, S. (2012). The evolution of spatial patterns of residential segregation in Central European Cities: The Łódź Functional Urban Region
  69. from mature socialism to mature post-socialism. Cities, 29(5), 300–309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2011.08.008
  70. Marcus, L. (2008). Spatial Capital and how to measure it –. In New Urbanism and Beyond: Designing Cities for the Future (pp. 135–139).
  71. Méreiné-Berki, B., Málovics, G., & Creţan, R. (2021). “You become one with the place”: Social mixing, social capital, and the lived experience of
  72. urban desegregation in the Roma community. Cities, 117, 103302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2021.103302
  73. Millard-Ball, A. (2020). Chapple and Loukaitou-Sideris: Transit-Oriented Displacement or Community Dividends? Understanding the Effects of
  74. Smarter Growth on Communities. Journal of the American Planning Association, 86(1), 132–133. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2019.1689023
  75. Mishra, A. P., Mondal, S., & Jha, P. C. (2022). Placing Indian Village System in the Centre of Development-Induced Displacement Discourse.
  76. European Journal of Geography, 13(5), Article 5. https://doi.org/10.48088/ejg.a.mis.270
  77. Ouyang, J., Fan, H., Wang, L., Zhu, D., & Yang, M. (2022). Revealing urban vibrancy stability based on human activity time-series. Sustainable Cit-ies
  78. and Society, 85, 104053. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.104053
  79. Pemberton, S., & Phillimore, J. (2018). Migrant place-making in super-diverse neighbourhoods: Moving beyond ethno-national approaches. Urban
  80. Studies, 55(4), 733–750. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098016656988
  81. Price, M. D. (2008). Migrants to the Metropolis: The Rise of Immigrant Gateway Cities. Syracuse University Press.
  82. Ramiller, A. (2021). Displacement through development? Property turnover and eviction risk in Seattle. Urban Studies, 00420980211004214.
  83. https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980211004214
  84. Rérat, P. (2018). Spatial capital and planetary gentrification: Residential location, mobility and social inequalities. In Handbook of gentrification
  85. studies. Edward Elgar publishing.
  86. Rérat, P. (2019). The return of cities: The trajectory of Swiss cities from demographic loss to reurbanization. European Planning Studies, 27(2),
  87. –376. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2018.1546832
  88. Rérat, P. (2020). Residential Mobility. In Handbook of Urban Mobilities. Routledge Handbooks Online. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781351058759-
  89. Robertson, I. M. L. (1982). The Measurement of Population Turnover: A New Approach by Coordinate References in a Scottish City. The Town
  90. Planning Review, 53(1), 79–89.
  91. Robson, B., Lymperopoulou, K., & Rae, A. (2009). A typology of the functional roles of deprived neighbourhoods. Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/a-typology-of-the-functional-roles-of-deprived-neighbourhoods(9bd1e86f-e733-4c7e-97f7-ebeb36cf2107)/export.html
  92. Rotolo, T., & Tittle, C. (2006). Population Size, Change, and Crime in U.S. Cities. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 22, 341–367.
  93. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-006-9015-x
  94. Sassen, S. (2001). The global city: New York, London, Tokyo. Princeton University Press.
  95. Sassen, S. (2012). Cities in a world economy (4th ed.). SAGE.
  96. Sassen, S. (2014). Expulsions, Brutality and Complexity in the Global Economy. Harvard
  97. University Press. https://doi.org/10.4159/9780674369818
  98. Shaw, C. R., & McKay, H. D. (1942). Juvenile delinquency and urban areas (pp. xxxii, 451). University of Chicago Press.
  99. Sklair, L. (2005). The Transnational Capitalist Class and Contemporary Architecture in Globalizing Cities. International Journal of Urban and Re-gional
  100. Research, 29(3), 485–500. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2427.2005.00601.x
  101. Slater, T. (2009). Missing Marcuse: On gentrification and displacement. City, 13(2–3), 292–311. https://doi.org/10.1080/13604810902982250
  102. Teresa, B. F. (2022). Planners’ Alchemy Achieved? How Nimby and Yimby Reproduce the Housing Question. International Journal of Urban and
  103. Regional Research, 46(2), 307–311. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2427.13065
  104. Theurillat, T., Rérat, P., & Crevoisier, O. (2015). The real estate markets: Players, institutions and territories. Urban Studies, 52(8), 1414–1433.
  105. Tonkiss, F. (2013). Cities by design: The social life of urban form. Polity Press.
  106. Travers, T., Tunstall, R., Whitehead, C. M. E., & Pruvot, S. (2007, February). Population mobility and service provision: A report for London Councils
  107. [Monograph]. London School of Economics and Political Science.
  108. http://www2.lse.ac.uk/businessAndConsultancy/LSEConsulting/recentReports.aspx
  109. Tuttle, S. (2022). Place Attachment and Alienation from Place: Cultural Displacement in Gentrifying Ethnic Enclaves. Critical Sociology, 48(3), 517–
  110. https://doi.org/10.1177/08969205211029363
  111. van Diepen, A. M. L., & Musterd, S. (2009). Lifestyles and the city: Connecting daily life to urbanity. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment,
  112. (3), 331–345. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-009-9150-4
  113. You, J. (2012). Social Trust: Fairness Matters More Than Homogeneity. Political Psychology, 33(5), 701–721.
  114. Zhang, G., Rui, X., Poslad, S., Song, X., Fan, Y., & Wu, B. (2020). A Method for the Estimation of Finely-Grained Temporal Spatial Human Popula-tion
  115. Density Distributions Based on Cell Phone Call Detail Records. Remote Sensing, 12(16), 2572. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12162572
  116. Zukin, S. (2008). Consuming Authenticity. Cultural Studies, 22(5), 724–748. https://doi.org/10.1080/09502380802245985